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National Economic Competitive Analysis (NECA Report)
Purpose: The purpose of this team-driven project is to give you experience analyzing national economies and their regional and global interdependencies. Such information is critical for making risk and opportunity assessments about trade, investment, production and supply chains, and for keeping abreast of the strengths, weaknesses and long-term developments of the global marketplace.
You will be evaluated on how well you apply the frameworks and concepts from our texts and class discussions. Note that each section of the report follows the topics in the class schedule. Each team will be assigned a country to analyze.

Deliverables: A written report covering all parts, and a presentation on your findings, are due the last day of class. Please focus your data collection and analysis to fit each part to minimize repetition. As a rule of thumb, each section can be covered in approximately two written pages, not including any tables and figures. Include headings that correspond to the numbered sections explained below. Include only information and data that are relevant to your analysis and that you discuss explicitly in the text. Reference appropriately within the text relating the information to your references at the end of the report with footnotes, endnotes or with an author, date format. Figures and tables all need to have their own source as well as a reference within the text. If you include a table or figure, discuss it in the text. A table of contents page is not necessary. Format: 12 pt font, single spacing with one blank space between paragraphs, numbered pages, no appendices unless justified. Please have a professional cover page including all analysts’ names, project title, date, course name & number.

Data: Much of the data needed for this project can be the Global Edge DIBS database. Additional information on institutions and policy can be found in the disaggregated information in the country rankings of the Doing Business Survey (www.doingbusiness.org) and the Global Competitiveness Report (http://www.weforum.org/reports/). Information on national policies, and industrial and firm structure, can be found in a variety of places including each country’s government documents, national newspapers, the World Bank and IMF reports on the country in question, etc. Use of some sources from your assigned country is required.

[Report Structure]

Cover Page

Executive Summary (one page)

1. Introduction
   Describe your assigned country in terms of its culture and languages, relations with the surrounding region, and what type of economic and political systems it has today, including the types of ownership and how important are each (private, state, state regulated etc.). What key legal characteristics exist, and what is the relationship between business and government?
   Create 1-2 key data charts for the two dimensions: governance and society. Summarize your analysis for each dimension in 1- 2 paragraphs and the implications for the business environment.
   State your thesis/argument in terms of the strengths and weaknesses of this business environment. [Note: bear this in mind as you do your research and once you have decided on your thesis, revise your introduction and other sections accordingly.]
2. Macroeconomic Analysis
   Using the World Bank Databank, present at least 10 years of data on the size of GDP, annual growth of GDP, GNI per capita (levels and growth rates), employment and inflation. What level of development is your case country as defined by the World Bank?
   Create 1-2 key data charts for the two dimensions: economics and operations. Summarize your analysis for each dimension in 1- 2 paragraphs and the implications for the business environment.
   Summarize the growth and development trends you see from this information. Explain where you see economic strengths and where you see economic problems based on these data for your country.
3. Analysis of demand conditions and factor endowments (Porter)

Demand conditions: Types and sophistication of consumers: Evaluate the demographics, income per capita and income distribution, tastes, cultural influences, and any other aspects of demand conditions that are relevant to your country.

Factor endowments: Analyse the comparative advantage situation with respect to factor endowments, including skills and other needed capabilities, distinguishing between basic and advanced factors. Identify the most important industries.

1. Analysis of related and supporting industries, and firms’ strategy, structure and rivalry (Porter)

Related and supporting industries: Building on your analysis of existing industries in part 3, add your analysis of suppliers and/or related industries. Identify existing or emerging clusters.

Firms’ strategy, structure and rivalry: Identify industries with domestic competition, and any national characteristics that may shape the nature of firms. Identify existing or emerging clusters.

1. Summarize 1) the industries that are relatively developed already and those that stand to gain from these conditions, considering the full value chain; 2) the institutional voids, and opportunities and risks, you find with regards to these four broad factors in parts 3 and 4; and 3) the role that government plays as described in Porter’s Diamond.
2. Trade, capital and balance of payments analysis and evaluation of sovereign risk
   Using the World Bank Databank with figures as a percent of GDP, conduct a balance of payments analysis with the methodology introduced in class based on the most recent 20 years of data utilizing the two-gap model. Take the average of each 5-year span for each of the key variables and analyse the size, differences, and changes over time.
   Analyse the growth potential and financial health of the economy based on the balance of payments trade and capital flows, savings and investment, and foreign currency analysis combined with data on the domestic budget and domestic debt, foreign debt, foreign exchange position, and investment quality (public, private domestic and private foreign).
   In your discussion, incorporate the type of foreign currency system, and how the currency values have fluctuated over this time period.
3. Additional Relevant Factors
   Discuss other relevant factors affecting the economic situation of your assigned country, if any, that you have not analysed in other sections. Examples could include environmental issues, energy dependency, political conditions, military peace or conflict, role of non-governmental organizations, important economic or trade agreements, recent “shocks” to the country or region, etc.
4. Conclusion
   Based on your analysis in parts 1-6 (7), summarize the current economic health of your assigned country. Tie this back to your thesis in the introduction. What do you expect in terms of economic progress and challenges in the next five years? What are the comparative and competitive industries/sectors? How does this economy fit into the global value chain? What are the key opportunities for business that emerge from your analysis? What are weaknesses/voids and other key risk factors present that businesses should consider in their strategies with respect to this business environment?
5. References

Sample Solution